This page goes through the method piece by piece: what I do, and what the research says about it, with a link to every study. No study has tested the Two Compasses as a whole. The limits are at the bottom.
Does coaching work?
What the research says. Yes, on average, with moderate effects.
- A 2023 meta-analysis of 37 randomised controlled trials (2,528 people) found a moderate positive effect of workplace and executive coaching (g = 0.59). It also found signs of publication bias, and larger effects on self-reported than observed outcomes. de Haan & Nilsson, 2023 (opens in a new tab)
- An earlier meta-analysis found positive effects on performance, well-being, coping, work attitudes and goal-directed self-regulation, ranging from g = 0.43 to g = 0.74. Theeboom, Beersma & van Vianen, 2014 (opens in a new tab)
- In a randomised study with executives, coaching increased goal attainment and resilience, and lowered depression and stress, compared with a control group. Grant, Curtayne & Burton, 2009 (opens in a new tab)
- A randomised study of life coaching with adults outside the workplace found gains in well-being and hope, and more active goal pursuit. Green, Oades & Grant, 2006 (opens in a new tab)
The relationship matters most
What I do. Every collaboration starts with a free 30-minute conversation, so we can both see whether we’re a fit before anything else.
What the research says.
- Across 27 samples and 3,563 coaching processes, the quality of the working relationship between coach and client was the most consistent predictor of good outcomes (r = 0.41). Graßmann, Schölmerich & Schermuly, 2020 (opens in a new tab)
- In a study of more than 1,800 coaching relationships, the working alliance and the client’s self-efficacy predicted results. Matching coach and client personalities did not. de Haan et al., 2016 (opens in a new tab)
Ontological coaching: language, emotions and the body
What I do. I was trained in ontological coaching, and it shapes how I listen. A person’s way of being shows up in three connected domains: the language they use, especially the stories they tell themselves; their emotions and background moods; and their body, how they breathe, hold themselves and move. A change that lasts usually needs all three. So we work with the sentence your head says, the mood underneath it, and what your body does when you think about the step.
Where it comes from. Ontological coaching grew out of the work of Fernando Flores, Rafael Echeverría and Julio Olalla, building on the philosophy of language, and was developed for coaches by Alan Sieler. A central distinction is between assertions, statements that can be checked against the facts, and assessments, judgements that sound like facts but are opinions. “I’ve sent three proposals and had no reply” is an assertion. “Nobody wants this” is an assessment. That distinction sits under “Check it” in the method.
What the research says about ontological coaching directly. It’s early. Randomised trials have only recently begun.
- A pilot randomised controlled trial tested an ontological coaching programme with nursing undergraduates in Singapore. Pereira et al., 2024 (opens in a new tab)
- The same research group followed with a multi-centre randomised controlled trial with practising nurses, looking at well-being, job outcomes and intentions to stay, and a qualitative study of how nurses experienced the coaching. International Journal of Nursing Studies, 2026 (opens in a new tab) · Journal of Advanced Nursing, 2026 (opens in a new tab)
- The theory is laid out in Alan Sieler’s chapter on ontological coaching in a leading coaching handbook, and in his three-volume Coaching to the Human Soul. Sieler, Ontological Coaching (opens in a new tab)
What the research says about each domain. Each of the three domains has strong support in mainstream psychology.
Language
- Putting a feeling into words reduced activity in the amygdala, a brain region involved in emotional alarm. Lieberman et al., 2007 (opens in a new tab)
- Language helps construct emotional experience, and having words for feelings changes how they’re perceived. Lindquist, Satpute & Gendron, 2015 (opens in a new tab)
- Talking to yourself in the second or third person (“You can handle this, Ana”) reduced anxiety and improved performance under stress, compared with “I” talk. How you phrase the story matters. Kross et al., 2014 (opens in a new tab)
- Writing about emotional experiences produced measurable benefits in health and well-being across many studies. Pennebaker, 1997 (opens in a new tab)
Emotions and moods
- Positive emotions broaden the range of thoughts and actions a person considers. Fear and resignation narrow them. Fredrickson, 2001 (opens in a new tab)
- Mood colours judgement: in a low mood, people tend to judge risks as bigger and prospects as worse, often without noticing the mood is doing it. Forgas, 1995 (opens in a new tab)
- People who habitually reinterpret situations (reappraisal) report better well-being than people who habitually push feelings down (suppression). Gross & John, 2003 (opens in a new tab)
- People who tell similar emotions apart cope better with stress. Kashdan, Barrett & McKnight, 2015 (opens in a new tab)
The body
- Emotion is embodied: changing posture and facial expression changes how emotions are experienced and processed. Niedenthal, 2007 (opens in a new tab)
- Slow breathing is linked with calmer physiology and lower anxiety across many studies. Zaccaro et al., 2018 (opens in a new tab)
- People who sense their heartbeat more accurately make better intuitive decisions when body signals carry useful information, and worse ones when they don’t. Dunn et al., 2010 (opens in a new tab)
- In a small study, financial traders with better heartbeat awareness made more money and lasted longer on the trading floor. Kandasamy et al., 2016 (opens in a new tab)
How the sessions are structured
What I do. Sessions follow the same shape: what did you move on, what did both compasses say, what story is your head telling about it, which reading serves your summit, and what’s the next move with a date. I ask more than I tell. You set your own steps.
What the research says.
- Learning from experience works as a cycle: do something, reflect on it, make sense of it, try again. The loop in the method follows that cycle. Kolb, Experiential Learning, 1984 (book)
- Changing results often needs a change in the assumptions behind an action, beyond the action itself. That’s what choosing a new story does. Argyris, 1977 (opens in a new tab)
- Goal-focused coaching, which links goals to action steps and regular review, is the best-supported structure in coaching psychology. Grant, 2012, International Coaching Psychology Review, 7(2), 146–165
- In a small experiment, coaching questions focused on solutions did more for people’s positive feelings and confidence than questions that dwelt on the problem. Grant & O’Connor, 2010 (opens in a new tab)
- People sustain change longer when the motivation is their own than when it comes from pressure or guilt. That’s why I don’t push. Ryan & Deci, 2000 (opens in a new tab)
Summit: a destination that’s concrete, and yours
What I do. We describe where you’re heading in both compasses: how an ordinary day should feel, and what a camera would see. We check whether the goal is yours or someone else’s.
What the research says.
- Specific, challenging goals lead to better performance than vague “do your best” goals, across hundreds of studies. Locke & Latham, 2002 (opens in a new tab)
- Goals you pursue because they matter to you lead to more sustained effort and more well-being when you reach them than goals pursued out of pressure or for reward. Sheldon & Elliot, 1999 (opens in a new tab)
- Across 75 studies and more than 36,000 people, living authentically was linked with well-being (r = 0.40) and engagement (r = 0.37). Sutton, 2020 (opens in a new tab)
Move: small real steps, and momentum
What I do. Every session ends with one move, a date and a place. Moves are small enough to happen this week. Progress builds on itself.
What the research says.
- Intentions alone predict behaviour less than we’d expect: many people who intend to act don’t. Sheeran, 2002 (opens in a new tab)
- Plans in the form “when X, I will do Y” substantially raise the odds of acting on a goal. A meta-analysis of 94 studies found a medium-to-large effect. Gollwitzer & Sheeran, 2006 (opens in a new tab)
- In a study of nearly 12,000 daily diary entries, making progress in meaningful work, even small progress, was the biggest boost to motivation and mood at work. Amabile & Kramer, 2011 (opens in a new tab)
- People who make successful career changes tend to experiment their way there instead of planning first. Ibarra, 2002 (opens in a new tab)
- Treating a setback with self-compassion increased people’s motivation to improve, compared with self-criticism. Breines & Chen, 2012 (opens in a new tab)
Outer compass and the story your head tells
What I do. Signals have no words, so your head supplies them. We catch the sentence, check it against the facts, and choose the reading closest to the facts that still moves you forward. Then we test it with the next step.
What the research says.
- Checking thoughts against evidence is at the core of cognitive behavioural methods, among the most researched approaches in psychology. A review of 269 meta-analyses found strong support for many of their uses. Hofmann et al., 2012 (opens in a new tab)
- Resistance to change often protects a hidden competing commitment. Seeing it makes change possible. Kegan & Lahey, 2001 (opens in a new tab)
- People overestimate how much others notice and judge them. Gilovich, Medvec & Savitsky, 2000 (opens in a new tab)
Outdoors and on the move
What I do. Much of the work happens walking, often in the Slovenian mountains. Remote clients walk alone between calls.
What the research says.
- People generated more creative ideas walking than sitting. Oppezzo & Schwartz, 2014 (opens in a new tab)
- A 90-minute nature walk reduced rumination and activity in a related brain region, compared with an urban walk. Bratman et al., 2015 (opens in a new tab)
- A walk in nature improved performance on an attention task more than an urban walk. Berman, Jonides & Kaplan, 2008 (opens in a new tab)
- In nearly 20,000 people, 120 minutes a week in nature was linked with better health and well-being. White et al., 2019 (opens in a new tab)
- Experiences of awe, often in nature, make people feel smaller and more connected to others. Bai et al., 2017 (opens in a new tab)
Why this often hits around midlife
- Life satisfaction tends to follow a U-shape across life, lowest in midlife, across many countries. Blanchflower & Oswald, 2008 (opens in a new tab)
- People’s most lasting regrets tend to be about not becoming who they wanted to be, more than about failing their duties. Davidai & Gilovich, 2018 (opens in a new tab)
- People expect to change much less in the next ten years than they did in the last ten. Quoidbach, Gilbert & Wilson, 2013 (opens in a new tab)
What is coaching worth?
The most quoted figures come from the ICF Global Coaching Client Study (2009), carried out by PricewaterhouseCoopers for the International Coaching Federation with over 2,100 clients in 64 countries:
- Companies that could calculate a return reported a median ROI of seven times their investment.
- 68% of individual clients said they at least made back what they spent. Those who gained financially reported an average of 3.44 times their spend.
These are clients’ own estimates, and the coaching industry commissioned the study. Treat them as a rough guide. The randomised trials above are stronger evidence that coaching changes things. ICF research (opens in a new tab)
What the research doesn’t show
I’d rather you hear the limits from me.
- The method as a whole hasn’t been trialled. The evidence supports its parts, and coaching in general.
- Ontological coaching is early in its research. Its first randomised trials are recent and come mostly from one group, with nurses. Its domains have strong support in psychology, but the approach as a package needs more testing.
- Coaching research leans on workplace settings and self-reports. Effects shrink when outcomes are observed by others, and some publication bias is likely.
- Body signals can mislead. They’re information to check, and sometimes they’re wrong.
- Most nature studies are short-term or correlational. They show associations and short-term effects, not lasting change.
- Coaching isn’t therapy. If you’re dealing with depression, anxiety, trauma or addiction, a doctor or therapist is the right first step, and I’ll say so.
How I check my own work
The Expedition Diagnostic is built to be tested: item checks after the first 100 to 150 people, comparisons with my own ratings after conversations, and a follow-up two weeks later asking whether people made their move. I’ll publish what I learn here.